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To watch: the possibility that Mr Sunak could call the general election for Thursday 2 May 2024, coinciding with the final set of local elections of this parliament. Climate change policies could be key election campaign themes. 2024 is still a very long way away (it is now October 2021 as I write this). Things can change very quickly in politics, and two and a half years is an eternity. But right now I would say that the Labour Party definitely has a chance to win the next election, but not a great one. So, the Labour Party definitely has a mountain to climb. Let’s sift through the data and see if we can find some things to give Keir Starmer some optimism: Where does that leave us? Well, let’s ask our good friends and impartial assessors of odds – the bookmakers.[3] They currently put the Labour Party at 19:10 (or roughly 2:1 – around 33% mathematically) to form a majority government. They have the Tories at 1:2 (or around 66% mathematically). Those odds will add up to more than 100% when you factor in other parties and the chance of a hung Parliament because the bookies need to set odds where they make a profit. But if you take a broad assessment – they think Labour’s chances are around half what the Conservative’s chances are.

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 Buy it here:  https://squadgifts.com/product/caitlin-clark-is-the-all-time-leading-scorer-in-ncaa-womens-history-shirt/ The problem is that real conservative voters aren’t that stupid. And swing voters and Liberals hate liars as well as loonies. Donald Trump has defined the game – lie your ass off and pander to the extremists. But it lost him the presidency, and the house, and the Senate. Both are fair, reasonable and hardy conditions which by rights, will force trump to quit the bullshit and his ridiculous childish teasing the donkey with the carrot. He either declares his intentions and confirms in writing that he’s going to run in 2024, thus every penny he raises will be recorded, or he just shuts the fuck up and crawls back under his rock. Biden only needs now to take Nevada and Arizona, and he is leading in those states at this point. Clark County, the largest county in Nevada, leans heavily Biden and those results are just pouring in now.
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