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Nate Silver’s 538 forecast gives Trump a 14% chance of winning. That’s 1 chance in 7. If you put 6 white ping-pong balls in a hat and one orange one,is there a chance you will pick the Best flor de toloache acl live at the moody theater austin city limits season 49 aug 29 2023 shirt so you should to go to store and get this orange one? Of course! Please don’t take this election for granted. VOTE! I feel the next presidential election will be one of the most important in the history of our nation. As we strive to keep democracy alive in our country, it will be critical that we elect those persons who are bound by the Constitution, the rule of law, and the courage to hold up those freedoms that the generations before us worked so hard to achieve. There is currently a movement afoot to move us from a representative democracy to an autocratic, fascist state and I pledge to do everything in my power to keep that from happening. I hope you will do the same.

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Anyone who thinks either a Trump win or a Trump loss in 2020 is a certainty hasn’t been paying attention to politics the Best flor de toloache acl live at the moody theater austin city limits season 49 aug 29 2023 shirt so you should to go to store and get this last 30 years. At the end of the day, Trump is the incumbent, and that is a significant advantage. Up until February, that was “an incumbent benefiting from a strong economy.” Unfortunately for him, that’s no longer the case. The other problem he’s got is he’s not facing Hillary Clinton, who let’s face it, drew a LOT of irrational hatred at a level that Biden just doesn’t inspire. Trump won it by 74 electoral college votes. that means the election flips when 38 EC votes change hands. When you’re looking for how an election will change, what you’re looking for are places that are likely to change from one election to the next. In other words it doesn’t matter how many people are going to vote for Biden in Californa or New York. Those states aren’t going to flip. And it doesn’t matter how many people are going to vote for Trump in Oklahoma or Kentucky. Those states aren’t changing so more or less votes there don’t matter. The places that matter are the places that were a surprise, or very close. Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin,

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